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Demand Forecasting for a Multi-Branch Retail Chain

Fixed stock-outs and overstock by deploying store-level demand intelligence.

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Retail10 WEEKSVERIFIED RESULTSRegional fashion retail group

Demand Forecasting for a Multi-Branch Retail Chain

Fixed stock-outs and overstock by deploying store-level demand intelligence.

Founder note: this is written to be practical. We focus on what we learned in delivery, what changed for the team, and what results held up after rollout.

INDUSTRYRetail
CLIENT TYPERegional fashion retail group
TIMELINE10 weeks
DELIVERY SCOPE42 stores, 7 product categories, 18 months of transaction data
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The Real Problem

Inventory plans were based on monthly averages and manager intuition, which caused repeated stock-outs in fast-moving categories and dead stock in seasonal lines.

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What We Actually Changed

Built a store-level demand forecasting model using 18 months of transaction data, weather signals, and promotional calendars — feeding automated replenishment recommendations.

TOOLS AND METHODS USED

PythonXGBoostProphetPostgreSQLPower BIAWS
layers

Delivery Journey

PHASE 1

Data Pipeline

Transaction ingestion, feature store

PHASE 2

Model Development

Store-level forecasting models

PHASE 3

Deployment

Replenishment dashboards, rollout

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What Improved

Store managers finally trust the numbers. We stock what sells and stop bleeding margin on dead inventory.

-47%
Stock-Outs
+6.2 pts
Margin
Fewer empty shelves in high-velocity SKUs
Better seasonal forecasting reduced write-offs
Improved inventory mix lifted margins
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FOUNDER BRIEF

INDUSTRY
Retail
TIMELINE
10 weeks
CLIENT TYPE
Regional fashion retail group
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DELIVERY STACK

PythonXGBoostProphetPostgreSQLPower BIAWS

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